How to estimate yield for grain marketing

TerrAvion Vigor map can help you estimate yield mid-season to get accurate insight for grain marketing

Even when harvest is still far away for many, farmers are starting to look at marketing grain.

How do you know you should be expecting for yield when looking into marketing your grains? To make the most of your grain marketing, it helps to know what to expect at harvest time as closely as possible during the season so you can take advantage of the best prices.

How does TerrAvion help with grain marketing?

It starts with ground-truthing in your fields with imagery. Using TerrAvion Mobile, ground truth areas of the highest vigor, medium vigor, and low vigor. In the image shown here, that is the darkest green, yellow, and red, but actual colors shown, depend on the colormap you have selected in TerrAvion OverView and Mobile.

Obtain yield estimates in bushels per acre in the same way as you would normally do. Make a 'pin' on the field with TerrAvion mobile with pictures (if needed) in those areas will make it easy to find the exact location and information back once in the office. Record your estimates in TerrAvion Mobile notes area with the pins.

Using OverView back at your office, click the histogram box in the upper right-hand corner.

The histogram will show up in the lower right bottom of your screen with the number of acres and % of field data for different vigor values. Locate the high, medium vigor, and low vigor that best represent the areas you scouted or see the pins you dropped in TerrAvion Mobile.

histogram with yield estimate

Lastly, use the acres in the histogram box in conjunction with your bushel per acre estimates per vigor value to calculate the bushels to be harvested in each area. Now you will have a solid estimate about how much grain you will have at the end of the season. Hopefully, it aligns if you already have a contract in place. Or if you are starting to market, you know have a solid foundation to start looking for the best options.

Just a couple of notes.

  • In both, TerrAvion OverView as well as TerrAvion Mobile it is possible to select your colormap. Make sure that you have the same color map selected in both tools.
  • TerrAvion Mobile is available for both Android and IOS devices, you can find the app store links here.

Click here to read the blog post about Grain Marketing